I’m a moron, however if there’s anything I have actually discovered for many years of openly choosing video games for the world to see, it’s that you ought to never ever commemorate excellent weeks. When you do, you just set yourself up for a dreadful week to follow.

So I’ll simply state that I’m getting in Week 3 of the college football season with some self-confidence after recently which I like this week’s slate of video games even much better than recently’s. We understand more about groups after seeing several video games, and there are a lot of areas where we can make the most of market overcorrections.

Lock Pod: The Cover 3 team break down Week 3 slate and offer choices for Alabama-Florida, Penn State-Auburn, Top 25 upsets, underdog choices of the week

So why do not we do that? All lines are through Caesars Sportsbook.

Games of the Week

Most Current Chances:

Alabama Crimson Tide.
-145.

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No. 1 Alabama at No. 11 Florida: Yeah, you’re not going to capture me providing you any factor to fade Alabama in this match. In theory, Florida is the kind of group that can put a larger scare into Alabama than a lot of other SEC groups. To beat Alabama nowadays, you need to can scoring a minimum of 40 points, and a Dan Mullen group can do that. Well, in 2015’s group might’ve, anyhow. I’m not offered that the 2021 variation of the Gators can.

Fans are demanding quarterback Anthony Richardson to see more snaps than he’s been getting, however Richardson has actually torn apart 2 bad groups in minimal time. He’s gotten away with a great deal of things he would not have the ability to versus Alabama, even if he does use big-play capacity. And, at the end of the day, whether it’s Richardson or Emory Jones, this Florida offense isn’t efficient in maintaining. My only issue here is that Bryce Young has a hard time in what will be the most challenging environment he’s played in up until now. Naturally, he might leave to a sluggish start, and I can still see the Tide covering this number with ease. Alabama 38, Florida 17|Alabama (-145)

Most Current Chances:

Penn State Nittany Lions.
-5.

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No. 22 Auburn at No. 10 Penn State: Auburn has looked amazing in the very first 2 weeks, hasn’t it? We’re discussing an offense averaging 61 points per video game while Bo Nix finishes 74%of his passes for 9.8 lawns per effort with 5 goals and no interceptions. That’s amazing. The issue is, 2 video games versus Akron and Alabama State aren’t going to persuade me this is a brand-new Bo Nix.

No, the Bo Nix I understand has actually constantly been better in your home than on the roadway. Nix has actually finished 63%of his passes in your home and balanced 7.7 backyards per effort with 15 goals and one interception. On the roadway, his conclusion rate drops to 54.5%, his YPA drops to 5.7, and he’s tossed more interceptions (10) than goals (9). Now Nix and Auburn are on the roadway versus a Penn State group that has actually gotten 2 more outstanding wins than the Tigers have, and the Nittany Lions will triumph in this huge feline fight in the house Saturday night. Penn State 27, Auburn 17|Penn State (-5 )

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Lock of the Week

Newest Chances:

Miami (FL) Hurricanes.
-6.

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Michigan State at No. 24 Miami: There are times when you wager a video game since your numbers inform you that the point spread or overall is off. There are the times when you wager a video game based on a reputable concept, like last week when the under in Air Force and Army was our Lock of the Week. And after that there are the times when you’re positioning a bet since you have actually seen the 2 groups playing in the video game, and the lines put out do not make a lick of sense.

This is the latter. I indicate, I might be incorrect. It’s definitely taken place prior to. That stated, there’s absolutely nothing I have actually seen from either among these groups that recommends to me Miami ought to be this big a preferred. A Miami that should have to be preferred by almost a goal versus Michigan State breezes past Appalachian State recently and does not require a late basket to avoid catastrophe.

On The Other Hand, Michigan State has actually looked strong on both sides of the ball through 2 weeks. The competitors hasn’t been intense, however this is more about how strong the Spartans have actually looked. I do not believe the market has actually captured on. Michigan State 28, Miami 27|Michigan State ( 6.5 )

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Bounceback of the Week

Newest Chances:

Ohio State Buckeyes.
-245.

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Tulsa at No. 9 Ohio State: Speak about the incorrect location at the incorrect time. If you’re Tulsa, dealing with Ohio State is currently a huge job, however capturing the Buckeyes a week after they lost their very first regular-season video game under Ryan Day is terrible luck. This will be among those “exercise the kinks” weeks for the Buckeyes. Offensively, they have actually been explosive however irregular general. Defensively, they have actually had severe issues creating pressure and getting stops.

Tulsa must supply chances to ravel both sides of the ball, and I do not believe the Buckeyes will be taking their foot off the gas if they get up huge. With one loss on the resume, it will be essential to look as effective as possible whenever the chance to do so emerges. Ohio State 52, Tulsa 10|Ohio State (-245)

Rodent of the Week

Newest Chances:

Colorado Buffaloes.
-2.5.

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Minnesota at Colorado: We are 2 weeks into the season, and Colorado has among the very best rush defenses in football. The Enthusiasts enable just 2.51 lawns per bring, and have a protective success rate of 81.3%versus the run, which has them connected for 3rd nationally with San Diego State. It’s an impressive turn-around thinking about the Buffs enabled 5. 44 backyards per bring last season, and it’s one I’m not offered on as of.

To Start With, the Buffs closed down Northern Colorado in their opener. Last week, they restricted an Aggies ground attack that had actually lost Haynes King to injury early in the video game. This permitted the Colorado defense to pack package and force backup Zach Calzada to beat them. He had a hard time to do so. This week the Buffs deal with a Minnesota hurrying attack that might be without its star however is unrelenting in its objective to run the ball. Minnesota ranks 26 th nationally in hurrying EPA from non-QBs considering that the start of the 2020 season, and I believe it can manage the clock and keep this one close. Colorado 24, Minnesota 23|Minnesota ( 3 )

QB Inequality of the Week

Newest Chances:

Nevada Wolf Load.
-2.

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Nevada at Kansas State: Last season, Kansas State left to a 2-1 start and upset Oklahoma when Skylar Thompson was at QB. Thompson got injured, and while the Wildcats won their very first 2 video games (versus TCU and Kansas) without him, they lost 5 straight to end up the season with Will Howard. A huge factor for this is Howard being one-dimensional. Opposing defenses do not reveal him regard in the death video game due to the fact that they do not need to, and as soon as they figured that out, the Kansas State offense was suppressed.

Well, a year later on, we’re taking a look at the very same circumstance. Include the reality the Wolf Load have a possible first-round choice at QB in Carson Strong, and I believe it’s too huge of a match benefit to disregard. Which stinks, truthfully, since I was really high up on the Wildcats entering into the season. Unfortunately, the Thompson injury altered the calculus a fair bit. Nevada 27, Kansas State 23|Nevada (-2 )

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SportsLine Select of the Week

Newest Chances:

Oklahoma Sooners.
-225.

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Nebraska at No. 3 Oklahoma: Whoops! I lacked space in The 6 pack, and there’s another bet this weekend I enjoy. If you wish to know what it is, you can discover it on my SportsLine page.

Recently

Season

Games of the Week

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4-0

Lock of the Week

1-0

1-1

General

5-1

8-4

Which college football choices can you make with self-confidence in Week 3, and which Top 25 preferred decreases hard? Go to SportsLine to see which groups will win and cover the spread — all from a tested computer system design that has actually returned over $3,500 in earnings over the previous five-plus seasons– and learn.

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