Bears draft Khalil Herbert: Chicago's new running back is a Dynasty gem and could provide 2021 redraft value

The late bloomer’s mix of contact balance and speed ought to not be disregarded

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The Chicago Bears included more skill to their backfield on Day 3 of the 2021 NFL Draft in supplying a running mate for quarterback Justin Fields when they prepared Khalil Herbert. The previous Virginia Tech running back is one of my sneaky-favorite Dynasty worths and might return 2021 redraft worth. Herbert is a little a late-blooming running back possibility whose breakout didn’t come up until the 2020 season after moving from Kansas (where he initially showed up in 2016) to Virginia Tech. Do not let his age, small size (which really works his favor, however more on that later) or late breakout lead you astray. Herbert can ball, and in my mind, he’s the most underrated possibility at his position in the whole class.

Herbert is utilized to being underrated and unheralded. He never ever topped 1,00 0 hurrying backyards in any season out of American Heritage High School in Plantation, Fla., so he got in college football as a three-star RB hire (247 Sports). Kansas was his only Power 5 deal. While Herbert revealed some indications at Kansas, his breakout came at Virginia Tech when he entered into the ideal system and environment. Some might see that adversely, however I take the opposite technique, leaning rather on his untapped benefit.

We’re breaking down whatever you require to learn about Herbert from a Dream supervisor point of view, consisting of finest fits, Dynasty outlook, measurables, searching report, essential statistics and an NFL contrast.

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2021 Dream Effect

Herbert signs up with a Bears backfield that consists of 2020 breakout second-year back David Montgomery, Damien Williams and Tarik Cohen. While expectations will be high for Montgomery in Year 3, it is necessary to note we have actually seen Chicago downsize his work in the past with coach Matt Nagy deciding to choose various backs in various scenarios. Williams was most likely signed as insurance coverage for Cohen, if the latter’s return from injury takes longer than anticipated– both are most likely to be deemed giving experts.

For Herbert, his clearest course to playing time in Year 1 comes as a change-of-pace back. Whether he can return worth on this function is completely based on his efficiency and whether that can result in a function at a loss zone. Herbert is restricted as a receiver after barely being utilized in the death video game at both Kansas and Virginia Tech. Herbert showcased big-time YAC capability in 2020 on restricted getting touches. It’s possible that Herbert can develop into a larger factor in the death video game however less most likely to take place immediately in2021 Eventually, Herbert’s redraft worth is most likely depending on injuries opening chances.

Dynasty outlook

Herbert’s age, late breakout in college and size will all be utilized versus him in the Dynasty neighborhood. I get it– it’s the nature of the video game, and normally speaking, potential customers who have those elements working versus them need to be outliers to prosper. Let’s not leave out the truth that Herbert has actually legit mid-4.4 s speed and video game speed that permits him to break away quickly on movie. He likewise signs up with a training personnel and system that fits his capability in Chicago. You’ll likely have the ability to get Herbert at the back end of your novice drafts with among your last choices, and he’s a lotto ticket I’ll be wanting to get in every novice draft.

Hunting report

Strengths

  • Runs exceptionally low to the ground and has an excellent center of mass, making him incredibly tough to deal with outdoors field.
  • Herbert has a thick lower body and obtains a great deal of strength from his lower half.
  • Contact balance is among the most essential qualities for any RB, and Herbert shows a borderline-elite capability to remain well balanced on contact.
  • Herbert is more than simply timed speed quickly– he regularly breaks long terms and has breakaway video game speed.
  • A damaged deal with maker who produces lawns after contact with ease.
  • Shows exceptional perseverance and vision as a runner while likewise preserving plus burst.
  • Although he’s being billed as a 1 year marvel, he discovered his stride in 2019 with Kansas prior to moving (over a little four-game sample size).
  • Uses instant upside on unique groups as a returner.
  • Light on his feet, and this is most obvious in his cuts in area.
  • Outstanding capability to stop-and-start as soon as he gets rolling.
  • Shows the qualities and durability required to hold up in pass defense.

Issues

  • Herbert will get in the NFL as an older possibility for the position and in basic (fifth-year senior).
  • Very little production or experience as a receiver– simply 34 receptions in 46 profession college video games.
  • It’s unclear why he wound up moving from Kansas midseason in 2019.
  • Although he has the characteristics to end up being a functional back in pass security, there are times on movie where he looked indifferent and uninformed of where to be in pass pro.

Duplicates breakdown

G Att RuYds Avg TD Rec ReYds Avg TD
2020 11 155 1183 7.6 14 10 179 179 1
2020 v top 25 2 29 145 5.0 1 2 8 4.0 0
2019 v top 25 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Profession 46 475 2918 6.1 22 34 297 8.7 1

Advanced statistics to understand

( all from 2020)

  • 19 brings of 15- plus lawns– sixth-most in the country
  • 782 backyards after contact– eighth-most in the country
  • 42 missed out on takes on required– 14 th-most in the country

NFL contrast

When I view Herbert, who made the label “Juice,” and it’s not tough to see why, I see tones of previous Jaguars RB Maurice Jones-Drew. He’s not rather as effective in the lower half as MJD was, and he’s not rather as quickly, however he has comparable characteristics to the ones that made Jones-Drew such an unique back in the NFL for a brief duration.

Watch Now:
2021 NFL Draft Gamer Compensation Profile: Khalil Herbert
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